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Gaining groundEmerging#14 of 115 by 1M spread

USD Bullish vs the S&P 500 (UUP): is it outperforming?

As of 12 October 2026, USD Bullish (UUP) has turned up: behind the S&P 500 over the longer run, but ahead over the past month. UUP beats the S&P 500 by 1.7 points over one month and ranks #14 of 115 groups Zensei tracks.

Prices as of Last update : First tracked: gaining ground

Where usd bullish stands now

As of 12 October 2026, USD Bullish (UUP) ranks #14 of the 115 groups Zensei tracks by one-month return against the S&P 500. It has just turned the corner. Over the longer, time-shifted window it trailed the S&P 500 by 3.5 points, but over the past month it has moved clearly ahead of the market — a 1.7-point edge that puts it in the Emerging quadrant.

On the shorter tape, UUP's momentum is weakening: the intraday trend that carried the move is cooling across the shorter windows. UUP's relative-strength line has dropped below its moving averages — the outperformance trend is fading. Both signals point the same direction here: the market is not rewarding this group on either horizon.

The thing to watch from here is confirmation: emerging groups that hold a positive one-month spread long enough for the longer window to turn are the classic early-rotation entries — the ones that fail fall back quickly.

1M spread vs SPY
+1.7 pts
Quadrant
Emerging
Momentum
Weakening
RS health
Fading

UUP vs SPY: head-to-head returns

Over the week to 12 October 2026, UUP rose 0.5% while the S&P 500 rose 0.4%. The table compares UUP and SPY (the S&P 500) over every window Zensei tracks. The spread is the difference: positive means UUP won that window.

Window
UUP
SPY
Spread
1 week+0.5%+0.4%+0.1 pts
2 weeks+1.8%+0.9%+0.9 pts
1 month+3.8%+2.1%+1.7 pts
3 months+2.2%+4.1%−1.9 pts
6 months+6.6%+12.6%−6.0 pts
1 year+8.0%+20.4%−12.4 pts

Prices as of · computed from daily adjusted closes · how we measure

USD Bullish on the rotation map, against the 11 broad S&P 500 sectors. Vertical: 1-month spread vs the S&P 500. Horizontal: the longer, time-shifted window.

What's inside UUP

#HoldingWeight1M3Mvs fund 1MMomentumRS health
1
AGPXXInvesco Shrt-Trm INV GOV&AGCY Instl
49.4%——No price data

USD Bullish vs the market — common questions

Is usd bullish outperforming the S&P 500?

Yes. As of 12 October 2026, UUP has beaten the S&P 500 by 1.7 points over the past month.

What is UUP?

UUP is Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund. Zensei uses it to measure usd bullish against the S&P 500 (SPY).

What quadrant is usd bullish in right now?

As of 12 October 2026, usd bullish is in the Emerging quadrant — behind the market over the longer window, but ahead over the past month. The Zensei methodology page explains the quadrants.

Recent changes

  1. ·First tracked: gaining ground

Related sectors

Track usd bullish against the whole market

Zensei Edge maps 100+ sectors and themes against the S&P 500 — with the stocks inside each one, rotation history and alerts when leadership changes hands.

Compare all sectors: Sector heat map · Sector P/E ratios