Price trend breakdown today: S&P 500 7.6% above its 200-day average (Inactive)
As of 12 October 2026, the S&P 500 closed at 7,807.24, 7.6% above its 200-day moving average of 7,255.12. The Zensei Index rates the price trend breakdown indicator Inactive on 12 October 2026: no signal. The condition this indicator checks for is absent.
For the SPY 200-day moving average and the share of S&P 500 stocks above their own, see SPY 200-day moving average.
S&P 500 trend vs its long-term average
Stress shows when the S&P 500 is below its 200-day average and its 100-day change is negative, both at once.
S&P 500 and 200-day average, Oct 2020 to Oct 2026. Values updated daily. Data as of .
S&P 500 trend gap: last value of each month
| Month | Date | S&P 500 | 200-day average | 100-day change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 7,807.24 | 7,255.12 | +6.17% | |
| September 2026 | 7,651.54 | 7,217.09 | +4.29% | |
| August 2026 | 7,686.14 | 7,122.92 | +13.32% | |
| July 2026 | 7,489.72 | 7,024.11 | +10.21% | |
| June 2026 | 7,499.36 | 6,934.07 | +8.96% | |
| May 2026 | 7,580.06 | 6,830.83 | +9.82% | |
| April 2026 | 7,209.01 | 6,723.61 | +5.13% | |
| March 2026 | 6,528.52 | 6,638.86 | −3.59% | |
| February 2026 | 6,878.88 | 6,559.93 | +2.43% | |
| January 2026 | 6,939.03 | 6,428.98 | +6.83% | |
| December 2025 | 6,845.50 | 6,286.45 | +7.14% | |
| November 2025 | 6,849.09 | 6,177.35 | +9.35% |
What it measures
Checks whether the market has broken its long-term trend.
This indicator checks whether the market has broken its long-term trend while maintaining negative momentum. Both conditions together suggest more than a routine correction.
Why it matters
The 100-day rate of change measures momentum—negative values indicate price weakness, while positive values signal bullish momentum.
Sustained trend breaks have historically aligned with bearish regimes.
This indicator belongs to the regime confirmations group: whether a regime shift is visible in price and cross-asset behavior. It carries 40% of that group's weight.
How to read the status
The Index dashboard gives this indicator one of 2 statuses, from calm to stressed. A more stressed status adds more of the indicator's weight to its group score. Stress shows when the S&P 500 is below its 200-day average and its 100-day change is negative, both at once.
- InactiveToday
No signal. The condition this indicator checks for is absent.
- Activated
Full signal. The condition this indicator checks for is present.
Price trend breakdown: common questions
What is the gap between the S&P 500 and its long-term average today?
As of 12 October 2026, the S&P 500 closed at 7,807.24, 7.6% above its 200-day moving average of 7,255.12. The Zensei Index rates the price trend breakdown indicator Inactive: no signal. The condition this indicator checks for is absent.
Is the S&P 500 trend intact?
The long-term trend holds. As of 12 October 2026, the S&P 500 closed at 7,807.24, 7.6% above its 200-day moving average of 7,255.12.
What does a rising gap between the S&P 500 and its long-term average mean?
A rising gap above the 200-day average means the long-term uptrend holds. The indicator activates only when the price falls below the average and the 100-day change turns negative.
Where does the price trend breakdown data come from?
Daily closes of the S&P 500 index from FRED (series SP500). Zensei computes the indicator from these series.
How often does the price trend breakdown indicator update?
The source data updates once per US trading day. Zensei recomputes the indicator after each new value. This page shows the newest value and its date.
Analytics, not investment advice. The status describes current conditions; it does not predict prices.
More market risk indicators
See all ten indicators in one score
The Zensei Index combines this reading with nine others into one risk score from 0 (calm) to 100 (maximum risk), with a written summary when conditions change.